It's always amusing to see how different people react to this subject. And while I honestly have completely conflicting feelings
and thoughts about it myself, I finally decided to simply keep up with the latest discoveries and watch how this moves along. For example...
Midway through the previous centuries - and for some decades before that, really - there had been many speculations on the nature of the human brain and how the
mind works its apparent magic. One of the better researched and scientifically-supported models was that of
Edward de Bono, in his book:
The Mechanism of the Mind. This is the model of
neural net computing, whose main features are pattern recognition and creation, which implies rather directly the ability to "learn intuitively," the currently most notable difference between human beings and machines.
Current neural net computers do indeed exhibit incredible ability to use their "experience" to recognize patterns, form new ones, and modify current ones to reflect changes. In fact, in his book
The Age of Spiritual Machines, Ray Kurzweil does a thorough, although quite controversial, examination of the future of neural net computing, parallel computing, the exponential rate of technological acceleration, and many other topics, and ends up with a vision where computers will
undoubtedly surpass human beings in all intelligence, survival capacity, and self-reproduction.
This is not one of those post-apocalyptic or dystopic scenarios, however. It's actually quite a promising and cheerful vision, if you look at it through an appropriate lens. If you think of the human race as the center of the universe, or the "apple of God's eye" as most of us do, then I suspect you have to refuse any such scenario altogether. But if you look at our species as simply the evolution of inorganic life (chemistry), into organic life (biology), and then, as a perfectly natural next step, into technological, possibly informational life, then this scenario might strike your fancy in many more ways than one.
Of course, this is all conjecture and extrapolation so far. However, I suspect that the "facts" will unfold soon enough. My only wish is that I'll still be around to witness it and satisfy my own curiosity :-)
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